DAMASCUS, ($1=1,257.84 Syrian Pounds) – Despite the seemingly “false truce” in Daraa province, which we announced last week, tensions in the region remain high, BulgarianMilitary.com has learned. We remind you that last week the Arab website Al Arabia reported that the troops of the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad had tried to kill the tribal negotiators. Only the intervention of the local population in Daraa prevented this planned action.
From a Russian source, BulgarianMilitary.com has learned that there are currently two Russian submarines armed with Caliber cruise missiles off the Syrian coast at the Russian naval base in Tartus. The same source claims that two more Russian submarines of the same class, also armed with the same cruise missiles, went to the port of Tartus. They come from Russia’s Black Sea Fleet. Thus, Russia currently positions a total of 32 Caliber cruise missiles.
Military observers in the region suggest that Russia will take a forceful “truce” in Daraa. This will happen through a coordinated attack by air and sea, and Caliber cruise missiles will be fired from the Tartus naval base.
Currently, Syrian rebels and the opposition are not surrendering in the Daraa area and are fighting the Syrian Arab army. We remind you that this is not the first time that the Russian Navy has used Caliber cruise missiles in the region. There is confirmed information for the last 12 months that the Russians have attacked ISIS positions with such missiles.
The civil war in Syria
The Syrian civil war has been going on for almost a decade. Attempts by movements such as the Syrian Democratic Forces to overthrow Syrian President Bashar al-Assad have failed.
The Syrian democratic forces are armed by allies and the United States, while the Syrian army is armed mainly by Russia. Russia is the only country officially invited to Syria by President Bashar al-Assad.
In 2017, the United States launched a massive missile strike on Bashar al-Assad’s forces after a report emerged that the Syrian president had used chemical weapons to attack his people in the country. Syria and Russia deny such actions.
During his tenure, US President Donald Trump decided to withdraw much of US troops from Syria, leaving several troops to guard Syria’s oil fields on the pretext of “falling into the hands of Islamic State.”
With the withdrawal of the United States, Turkey comes to the fore, declaring it necessary to deal with the Kurds and the PKK movement in the northern part of the country, which borders Turkey. That is why Erdogan is sending troops in an attempt to build a stable and secure 30km zone between Syria and Turkey, which will prevent future terrorist attacks on Turkish territory, as it is.
In February 2020, Turkey lost at least 62 troops killed in Syria. Nearly 100 soldiers were wounded, Syrian-backed forces destroyed dozens of Turkish armored vehicles, and more than ten drones, including drones, were shot down. Washington has repeatedly accused Moscow of involvement in the deaths of Turkish soldiers, Russia rejects these allegations.
In early March 2020, the presidents of Russia and Turkey, Vladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdogan, agreed that a ceasefire came into force in the Idlib de-escalation zone. Syrian President Bashar al-Assad later said that if the US and Turkish military did not leave the country, Damascus would use military power.
The reason for the Russian-Turkish negotiations was a sharp aggravation of the situation in Idlib, where in January, a large-scale offensive by the Syrian army against the positions of the armed opposition and terrorists began.
Government forces recaptured nearly half of the Idlib de-escalation zone and left behind several Turkish observation posts. After that, Ankara sharply increased its military contingent in the region and launched the operation “Spring Shield” to push the Syrian troops. Militants are loyal to Ankara and support Turkey.
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