German media: The Russian invasion of Ukraine in three phases

BERLIN, ($1=0.89 Euros) – The German daily Bild reported on Saturday that it had learned the detailed plans for the Russian invasion of Ukraine, learned BulgarianMilitary.com, citing Defence24. According to them, Russia will occupy approximately two-thirds of Ukraine’s territory in three stages. According to the newspaper, President Vladimir Putin has not yet decided whether the plans will be implemented.

“For several days, the Kremlin has feared that war with Ukraine is inevitable if its government does not abandon its alleged plans to retake Russia’s occupied Donbas and Russia’s annexed Crimea. NATO will also have to “guarantee” that Ukraine will never become a member of the alliance. They are withdrawing weapons that are allegedly in Ukraine to prevent war in the region,” Bild reported.

The German daily claims to have learned the details of Russia’s plans, which, according to a high-ranking officer, “lie in a drawer and Putin has not yet decided whether they will be implemented.” However, the deployment of troops in April shows that the Kremlin seems to be moving towards carrying out its plans to attack.

According to Bilda’s findings, Russia’s “maximum plans” for war with Ukraine have been known since mid-October. “The US CIA’s foreign intelligence agency intercepted them from Russian military communications, first informing its government, which informed NATO in November. This was first reported by the Washington Post. According to this newspaper, Putin could send 175,000 troops abroad”, writes the German daily newspapper.

The details given by Bild about “a possible Russian invasion of Ukraine (…) are based on the assessments of several NATO members and security circles, some of whom had an idea of ​​possible plans for the Russian attack.”

According to a high-ranking security source, if Putin had ordered such an order, the Russian army would have “launched a simultaneous attack from northern Crimea through separatist areas to the east and north” of Ukraine. This is the opinion of both NATO and Ukrainian military intelligence. The attack could take place “in late January, early February” if Ukraine and NATO refuse to agree to Putin’s demands.

“Other people around NATO see the attack in three phases, each of which could be the last operation if the West’s reaction to the invasion leads to a reassessment of the situation,” German journalists said.

In the first phase of the invasion, the southern part of Ukraine will be taken “both to secure supplies to Crimea and to cut Ukraine off from the sea and thus cut off supplies,” a security official told Bild.

Russia plans to use landing ships transported from the Baltic Sea in the spring “to transport tanks and troops from Crimea to the outskirts of Odesa,” a senior Western intelligence officer said.

Another senior military official said Russian plans called for a landing “east of Odessa between Fontanka and Koblevo” and the vicinity of Odessa.

At the same time in the region of Kherson will be carried out “air operations of Special Forces”, which will block the bridges over the Dnieper and thus cut off supplies to Ukrainians. “First, only artillery fire on Ukrainian positions will be carried out from Crimea, which will connect the Ukrainian troops here and will not be able to regain the bridges behind them.”

“Russian armored units, supported by the navy and air force, will advance west of the occupied territory of Donbas in eastern Ukraine, then separate and move on one side to Zaporojie and on the other to Crimea,” he wrote. Picture.

The second stage predicts that “in parallel with the first phase of the war, Putin’s air force and ballistic missiles will weaken Ukraine’s military potential throughout the country.”

“If the Kremlin decides that there are conditions for this, Russian tank units could cross the border into Luhansk and Kharkiv regions and move to the cities of Dnipro and Poltava,” Bild reports. “First, they will surround the cities and cut off their electricity, gas, and food supplies. In a few weeks, the Russians will be able to celebrate as saviors of the civilian population, enter the captured cities and save the Ukrainian population from starvation or cold,” he said. the officers.

In the third phase, the Russian army will advance from the north to Kyiv. “Of course, it could happen at the beginning of the war, if circumstances require it,” the source told Bild.

“Among NATO strategists, there is no certainty whether Alexander Lukashenko’s regime will take part in hostilities against Belarus. Although dictator Lukashenko recently announced it, it is still uncertain,” the German daily wrote.

If Belarus were to be prepared as the starting point for Russian or even Belarusian attacks, the Russian plan would be to encircle Kyiv from the northeast and northwest. Russian forces would then “march roughly to the Korosten-Uman line to cut off supplies from western Ukraine, and then wait for the capitulation of Kyiv and thus Ukraine under Western pressure.”

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