Weapon systems will resolve a US-Russia clash in the Black Sea

WASHINGTON, (BM) – Chris Osborne is an American publicist and journalist, but years ago, he was a Pentagon adviser on acquiring logistics and military technology. Osborne makes a comparative analysis of the US and Russian combat capabilities in the Black Sea and what would happen in the event of a clash between the two powers.

According to Chris Osborne’s analysis, Russia’s advantage lies in the free movement of Russian submarines in the Black Sea region. The United States does not have this opportunity for a highly developed submarine fleet in the waters of the Black Sea. In this way, Russia’s submarine advantage will significantly limit American ships’ free navigation and movement.

But Osborne says that there is no clear advantage despite the “home conditions” for the Russian Federation. Despite its developed submarine fleet, the United States has a more significant number of warships in the region than Russia. This advantage can be the factor that equalizes forces in the event of a collision.

Bulgaria and Romania would be the apparent targets of Russian surface ships, which will try to influence both trade traffic and attack possible ground targets in these two countries. But Russia has nearly 85 corvettes and 55 patrol boats capable of inflicting such strikes. Osborne recalls a significant number of warships in the Black Sea from both the United States and the North Atlantic Alliance.

Therefore, the American expert suggests that with such a balance in submarines and surface ships, a conflict between the two countries can be won by the country with better radar, guidance, and precision-hitting weapon systems.

Unmanned aerial vehicles and marine sensors will also play a significant role in determining Black Sea supremacy.

The United States no longer has the largest fleet

China is building the equivalent of the French Navy in four years, ”Admiral Christophe Prazuck, then Chief of Staff of the French Navy, declared in spring 2018. And indeed, between 2015 and 2018, the tonnage of the naval component of the People’s Liberation Army [PLA] had increased by 350,000 tons.

As a result, it now has 333 ships, 37 more than its American counterpart. But this effort is not only quantitative; it is also qualitative, as evidenced by the ceremony organized at the Sanya naval base [Hainan province] on April 23 in the presence of President Xi Jinping.

Indeed, that day, the Chinese navy commissioned three new vessels, representing between them nearly 60,000 tons. At 35,000 to 40,000 tons, the largest in Type 075 amphibious assault ship [or helicopter carrier], dubbed “Hainan”. Launched in September 2019, the victim of a fire in April 2020, it began its sea trials last summer.


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