Sending the military to Libya will not be a short pleasure trip for Egypt
This post was published in Haqqin. The point of view expressed in this article is authorial and do not necessarily reflect BM`s editorial stance.
CAIRO, (BM) – The Egyptian parliament unanimously approved the possible dispatch of the country’s military to carry out combat missions outside Egypt, and Egyptian state television announced the official start of coordination with the Libyan leadership in the coming days.
As Haqqin.az writes, now Egypt’s intervention in the situation in Libya seems to be inevitable, and it is unlikely that there will be a question of a short pleasure trip.
As the Azerbaijani portal continues, the decision of the Egyptian parliament has several motives, the main of which should be called ensuring the presence of friendly forces on the problematic Egyptian-Libyan border, access to hydrocarbon deposits in the region.
Moreover, Cairo is not at all averse to finally getting its prize from the fact that the neighboring state, with which the Egyptians were at enmity right up to armed conflicts since the days of Gaddafi, is beating in agony. It will be a small, but still a step towards the so-called revival of great Egypt, as the local military circles and part of the national bourgeoisie dream about.
Egypt reckons that an armed invasion – from two to three mechanized and tank brigades with the support of attack helicopters and aviation – should fix the new status quo that emerged after the defeat of Haftar by Saraj’s forces near Tripoli.
The Egyptian side is confident that all the trump cards are on its side: the logistics of operations in Libya are not in Turkey’s favor, and the likelihood that Ankara will receive the support of NATO allies is extremely low.
However, the author of the material notes, on the other side of the scales is a protracted presence in Libya, which is fraught with clashes with local patriots, a head-on collision with Turkey and a heavy burden on the budget, which is already experiencing serious problems.
As the portal concludes, the situation in the region is tense to the limit, but the strategic initiative is still with Turkish President Erdogan.
It is in his hands that the keys to relative peace in North Africa are now in his hands, and it will be he who will decide whether the world will see another phase of stabilization of the Libyan conflict.
Libyan civil war
Having ruled the country since 1969, Muammar Gaddafi was ousted and killed in the 2011 civil war. As a result, the country found itself in a situation of dual power: in the east, a parliament is sitting in Tobruk, supported by the Libyan national army, Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar, and in the west, in Tripoli, a government of national accord.
In Libya, armed clashes are currently taking place between supporters of different leaders. The country is led by the Government of National Accord (GNA), headed by Prime Minister Fayez Saraj, the “eastern government” led by Abdullah Abdurrahaman at-Thani.
The eastern government is supported by the commander of the Libyan National Army, Khalifa Haftar.
Recall that January 13 in Moscow, negotiations were held between the heads of the Libyan National Army (LNA) Khalif Haftar and the Government of National Accord (GNA) Faiz Sarraj. Also present were members of the Foreign Ministries of Russia and Turkey.
On the meeting the commander of the Libyan National Army (LNA), Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar, has notified Russia about the conditions for continuing negotiations on the signing of a peace agreement in Libya.
According to the requirements of Haftar, the militias operating in Libya are required to surrender weapons in the period from 45 to 90 days. This process should be controlled by a special commission created by the LNA together with the UN.
Haftar also refused to recognize Turkey as an intermediary in resolving the situation in Libya, since the Turkish side is not neutral and supports the Government of National Accord (GNA).
At the same time, the GNA is actively supporting Turkey, and Egypt and Saudi Arabia are on the side of the LNA. Its unofficial allies are France and the UAE.
Ruling the country since 1969, Muammar Gaddafi was overthrown and killed during the 2011 civil war. As a result, the country found itself in a situation of dual power: in the east, a parliament sits in Tobruk, supported by the Libyan national army of Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar, and in the west in Tripoli, a government of national accord. At the same time, the PNC actively supports Turkey, and Egypt and Saudi Arabia are on the side of the LNA. Its unofficial allies are France and the UAE.
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