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Turkey may have a military advantage over Russia in Syria, US analyst said

WASHINGTON, (BM) – Turkey could have a possible military advantage in a direct confrontation with Russia in Syria if such an occasion arose, analyst Michael Peck writes, learned BulgarianMilitary.com.

Read more: Turkey grants huge favor to Russia

“Russia’s overall military superiority does not translate into superior local forces in northwestern Syria,” the author points out in an article for The National Interest, referring to the Syrian province of Idlib, where Syrian government troops and Turkish-backed rebels fiercely fought for control of this. area.

Not having significant opportunities for the transfer of Russian troops to Syria by air, Moscow relies heavily on regular sea transportation through the Turkish Bosphorus Strait to Syrian ports to provide several thousand military personnel and dozens of military aircraft. In the event of a direct confrontation, Turkey may close the waterway and cut off Russia from logistical support, Peck said.

Despite the fact that Russia has a larger military force and a huge arsenal of nuclear warheads, Peck notes that “a retaliatory strike by Russia on Turkey itself would also be risky.”

“Although NATO is unlikely to support Turkey’s campaign in Syria, which is outside the alliance’s area, it will be obligated to help a member whose national territory has been attacked,” the analyst adds.

Read more: The fragile truce in Idlib – a failure for Erdogan

Because of their close proximity to the conflict in Idlib and the support of the warring parties, Turkey and Russia are faced with numerous catalysts that could provoke direct hostilities between them, Peck writes with reference to military expert Michael Kofman.

“While both sides are working to avoid conflict, neither side can accept the loss of life without taking any measures,” concludes Peck.

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