Why did Russia attack Turkey in Idlib, Syria?
ANKARA, (BM) – There is no doubt that both Russia and the Damascus administration (and, according to some statements, the Iranian militias fighting in Syria) knew about the location of the Turkish troops. As is usually the case in joint military operations with the participation of many parties, Ankara in order to avoid clashes “agreed in advance” on the location of reinforcements in the region.
In other words, Russia is lying. The deaths of Turkish soldiers are to blame for Iranian militias and Russia supporting them.
In addition, as of February 3, it is obvious that relations between Ankara and Moscow, which reached a strategic stage during the peace talks in Astana and Sochi, suffered serious damage – but they will not end.
Countless local and foreign experts and commentators over the years have evaluated and analyzed not only the stage that relations between the two countries have reached, but also their influence on each other in strategic matters.
Trade, tourism, the Black Sea region, the Balkans, the Middle East (especially Syria, Libya), the defense industry (S-400), energy (Akkuyu NPP and power lines) and so on. The list goes on. In essence, the scale of relations becomes quite understandable if you add two more items to the list: Turkey’s membership in NATO and the conditions that protect the presence of Russia in the Mediterranean.
Then, “why” did Russia feel the need for such a defiant blow?
Moreover, all communication channels between Ankara and Moscow – military, through intelligence, between ministers, heads of state, relevant institutions, organizations – were completely open. In addition, there was a connection with the leadership of Damascus intelligence, the foundations of which were laid by Russia.
We see that there is no answer to this question.
On the evening of the third of February, without exception, all the “experts” who spoke on television asked each other: “Why, why?” (This is all pathos, we can tell if they put pressure on us).
Excuses like the Turkish president’s planned visit to Ukraine on the morning of the day that the attack was carried out, disagreements over Libya or the defense of the Damascus regime alone, that the result is close in Syria and, consequently, tension has increased, or simply that Russia’s “everything you can’t trust either,” they are not comparable with an attack on Turkey.
The following questions must be asked:
Was the Pentagon’s desire to revive relations with Ankara in a “safe zone” in northern Syria discussed during the visit of Tod Wolters, NATO Supreme Commander in Europe, to Turkey?
Was there any mention of the future presence of Russian troops here? It is already known that American and Russian troops often block the path to each other, clash face to face. So, did the terrorist groups that continue to maintain their presence here come to the negotiating table? We do not know and do not ask. (The Turkish press covered Walters’ visit in connection with the new beret of Yaşar Güler, Chief of General Staff, at the welcome ceremony. She was not interested in anything else.)
The ultimate goal of Russia in relation to Syria is not a secret: to constantly expand Damascus control in the border areas. However, the reason “why now” is because these events seem to have caused concern in Russia because Turkish-American relations may be moving into another phase.
Meanwhile, this heinous attack was not the beginning of everything. Everyone knew that there was hidden tension between the two countries, that Ankara’s patience was running out. That is why Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan made a statement on Friday that military force could be used if necessary in Idlib.
Moscow responded to these manifestations of dissatisfaction: it made statements that Russia takes its promises seriously, that in Idlib it fulfills its obligations, that it follows Sochi’s agreements. These statements, which at first sound like they would allow rehabilitating and making amends, were considered “empty and insincere” in Ankara. That was the reality. The Kremlin has shown its attitude.
The US position on Idlib should also be explained: they do not want Idlib to be in the hands of Russia or Damascus, that Iranian militias are active here, or that it forms the Mediterranean-Iranian line.
“The United States condemns the Assad regime, Russia, Iran and Hezbollah for the constant and ruthless attacks on the residents of Idlib. We support Turkey, our NATO ally, and oppose such actions. We fully support Turkey’s legitimate self-defense actions,” Washington statement.
It is unlikely that Ankara will operate in northeast Syria in unison with the United States. US relations with terrorist organizations remain unchanged. The practice of the Pentagon is obvious, and it seems that it is not changing for the better. However, the consequences of what will happen in Iraq are very important. Turkey, on the other hand, must make every effort to solve the refugee problem.
In short, Russia must retreat because Turkey is going to stay in Idlib.
First of all, we lost our children. Our state, the Turkish armed forces have “duties” towards our martyrs and their families, and we continue to pray for them.
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Source: Inosmi, Yeni Safak / Author: Nedret Ersanel
The point of view expressed in this article is authorial and do not necessarily reflect BM`s editorial stance.